Florida Real Estate Market Update – July 2025
Rebalancing, Not Collapsing: Why Smart Investors Are Moving Now
While the headlines continue to scream “collapse,” the data tells a very different story. Florida’s real estate market isn’t crashing—it’s recalibrating. And savvy investors are quietly taking advantage of one of the most strategic moments we’ve seen since the early 2010s.
Key Market Highlights
Insurance Market Stabilization • Over 30 private insurers have returned to Florida since 2023. • Citizens Insurance has reduced its policy load by 600,000 (a 45% drop). • High-risk ZIP codes are seeing insurance premiums fall by 10%–25%. • In Tampa Bay, 90,000 homes moved to private coverage in under a year.
Builders Pivoting Strategy • Average discounts of $48,000 on new construction homes. • Entire subdivisions converted to rentals or sold in bulk to institutional investors. • Housing permits down 14% YoY in Orlando and other major metros—shrinking future supply.
Migration Remains Positive • Florida welcomed 64,000 new domestic migrants in 2024—down from pandemic highs, but still strong. • Many of these new residents are high-net-worth individuals and family offices relocating due to more favorable business and tax environments.
Institutional & Smart Money Re-Entering • Institutional cash buyers are quietly acquiring distressed or discounted assets. • Hedge funds and private capital are flowing back into markets like Miami, driven by fundamentals—not fear. • History is repeating itself: those who acted during 2009 and 2020 saw substantial long-term gains.
Why Miami Still Leads the Pack
Miami remains one of the most desirable metros in Florida due to: • No state income tax and pro-business climate • Global appeal and continued migration from high-tax states • Steady demand for luxury and mid-market properties • Airbnb and short-term rental resilience in zoned areas
Bottom Line: Fundamentals Are Strong
Florida’s housing market has: • Insurance normalization • Stabilized inventory • Strategic builder shifts • Continued domestic migration • Institutional capital flowing back in
If you’re waiting for the media to declare “the bottom,” you’ll likely miss the window where wealth is built. History has shown: smart money doesn’t follow the headlines—it follows the fundamentals.
Guillermo Teran
Broker Associate | Avanti Way Realty
(305) 457-9609
www.gteran.com
www.gteran@avantiway.com
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